Bet on Adam and Kyrie and bet against Paula and Roy
Wherein my three favorite contestants are also the worst
Note: All information below is based on data before the 10/09/2010
show.
To quickly get everyone up to speed:
I decided to pull some numbers and see if anything interesting popped out. Not really, so feel free to stop reading here.
I pulled game totals for the panelists with the most number of appearances -- after Provenza, the next most appearances was 14. Database includes number of points everyone scored per game, so that's something you could play around with. Or maybe review for shows recorded in Chicago versus those not and create home and away statistics. I won't be doing either of those.
Also of potential interest is how well the panelists do in the final round -- who can hold onto a lead and who comes from behind. But the ability to suss that out looks to be outside the realm of the database.
What I would like to see in the database is Bluff the Listener data. I'd like to know how well these guys bluff. And what happens when they have the real answer versus when they don't. Maybe I'll try to work on this.
Number of games played
Basic stuff: numbers 1st, 2nd, and 3rd; and total games played. Ties are a separate column in the database; here, I've combined them. So Charlie Pierce's 53 wins is 37 solo wins plus 16 ties for first.
Total Points
Assign three points for 1st, two for 2nd, and one for third; calculate total.
Percentage of First Place Wins
First place total divided by number of games played.
Percent of Total Points
Assume three points for a win, and multiply by games played. Divide this into actual number of points earned. Does this work as some sort of efficiency rating?
Most likely to finish third
Like first place, but for last place.
Note: All information below is based on data before the 10/09/2010
show.
To quickly get everyone up to speed:
- There's a public radio game show called Wait Wait...Don't Tell Me!
- Someone has created a WWDTM database
- Found out about the database from Popehat.
I decided to pull some numbers and see if anything interesting popped out. Not really, so feel free to stop reading here.
I pulled game totals for the panelists with the most number of appearances -- after Provenza, the next most appearances was 14. Database includes number of points everyone scored per game, so that's something you could play around with. Or maybe review for shows recorded in Chicago versus those not and create home and away statistics. I won't be doing either of those.
Also of potential interest is how well the panelists do in the final round -- who can hold onto a lead and who comes from behind. But the ability to suss that out looks to be outside the realm of the database.
What I would like to see in the database is Bluff the Listener data. I'd like to know how well these guys bluff. And what happens when they have the real answer versus when they don't. Maybe I'll try to work on this.
Number of games played
Basic stuff: numbers 1st, 2nd, and 3rd; and total games played. Ties are a separate column in the database; here, I've combined them. So Charlie Pierce's 53 wins is 37 solo wins plus 16 ties for first.
| Name | 1st place | 2nd place | 3rd place | Total games | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Pierce | 53 | 31 | 18 | 102 | |
| Roxanne Roberts | 50 | 35 | 15 | 100 | |
| Adam Felber | 62 | 28 | 9 | 99 | |
| Paula Poundstone | 23 | 32 | 44 | 99 | |
| Roy Blount, Jr. | 35 | 35 | 27 | 97 | |
| Mo Rocca | 20 | 32 | 34 | 86 | |
| Tom Bodett | 24 | 24 | 22 | 70 | |
| Kyrie O'Connor | 41 | 19 | 9 | 69 | |
| Amy Dickinson | 15 | 19 | 16 | 50 | |
| PJ O'Rourke | 10 | 10 | 19 | 39 | |
| Sue Ellicott | 7 | 17 | 15 | 39 | |
| Paul Provenza | 7 | 15 | 12 | 34 | |
Total Points
Assign three points for 1st, two for 2nd, and one for third; calculate total.
| Name | Total Points |
|---|---|
| Adam Felber | 251 |
| Charlie Pierce | 239 |
| Roxanne Roberts | 235 |
| Roy Blount, Jr. | 202 |
| Paula Poundstone | 177 |
| Kyrie O'Connor | 170 |
| Mo Rocca | 158 |
| Tom Bodett | 142 |
| Amy Dickinson | 99 |
| Sue Ellicott | 70 |
| PJ O'Rourke | 69 |
| Paul Provenza | 63 |
Percentage of First Place Wins
First place total divided by number of games played.
| Name | 1st place percentage |
|---|---|
| Adam Felber | 62.63 |
| Kyrie O'Connor | 59.42 |
| Charlie Pierce | 51.96 |
| Roxanne Roberts | 50.00 |
| Roy Blount, Jr. | 36.08 |
| Tom Bodett | 34.29 |
| Amy Dickinson | 30.00 |
| PJ O'Rourke | 25.64 |
| Mo Rocca | 23.26 |
| Paula Poundstone | 23.23 |
| Paul Provenza | 20.59 |
| Sue Ellicott | 17.95 |
Percent of Total Points
Assume three points for a win, and multiply by games played. Divide this into actual number of points earned. Does this work as some sort of efficiency rating?
| Name | Percent of total points |
|---|---|
| Adam Felber | 84.51 |
| Kyrie O'Connor | 82.13 |
| Roxanne Roberts | 78.33 |
| Charlie Pierce | 78.10 |
| Roy Blount, Jr. | 69.41 |
| Tom Bodett | 67.62 |
| Amy Dickinson | 66.00 |
| Paul Provenza | 61.76 |
| Mo Rocca | 61.24 |
| Sue Ellicott | 59.83 |
| Paula Poundstone | 59.60 |
| PJ O'Rourke | 58.97 |
Most likely to finish third
Like first place, but for last place.
| Name | 3rd place percentage |
|---|---|
| PJ O'Rourke | 48.72 |
| Paula Poundstone | 44.44 |
| Mo Rocca | 39.53 |
| Sue Ellicott | 38.46 |
| Paul Provenza | 35.29 |
| Amy Dickinson | 32.00 |
| Tom Bodett | 31.43 |
| Roy Blount, Jr. | 27.84 |
| Charlie Pierce | 17.65 |
| Roxanne Roberts | 15.00 |
| Kyrie O'Connor | 13.04 |
| Adam Felber | 9.09 |
posted by bill at 2:21 PM
1 Comments:
Hey Bill, I'm the maintainer of the Wait Wait statistics page and database. I'm glad to see someone putting the data that I've collected to good use.
I have been recording which panelist had the correct bluff for a while, but have not had a chance to update the code to display that on the page. I am also thinking about a re-design of the page, so I'll try to include that piece in there as well.
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